DAM THE VARIABLES
(an extract from On the Slippery Slope: The Bakun Debacle
an article by John Devi published in the June 1996 issue of Ethos)
Lessons from other similar projects tell us that dam proponents 
have suffered from:
AN INABILITY TO ACCURATELY ANALYSE HYDROLOGY;
ASSUMPTION OF UNCHANGING CLIMATOLOGY;
UNDERESTIMATION OF FLOOD PEAKS;
FAILURE TO CARRY OUT COMPREHENSIVE RISK ASSESSMENTS
DISCOUNTING OF RESERVOIR-INDUCED SEISMICITY
UNDERESTIMATION OF RISK OF CATASTROPHIC LANDSLIDING;
FAILURE TO ASSESS RISKS OF SABOTAGE OR WAR;
FAILURE TO ASSESS RISKS DUE TO OPERATIONAL ERRORS;
UNDERESTIMATION OF RATES OF RESERVOIR SILTATION;
DISCOUNTING OF EFFECTS ON RIVER BED AND BANK EROSION DOWNSTREAM;
IGNORING EFFECTS ON SEDIMENT SUPPLY TO DOWNSTREAM ESTUARIES AND COAST;
DISCOUNTING ANOXIC POLLUTION IN RESERVOIR AND DOWNSTREAM;
IGNORING EFFECTS OF HYDROLOGY CHANGES ON WATER QUALITY AND DRINKING  WATER DOWNSTREAM;
FAILURE TO TAKE INTO ACCOUNT AGING OF DAM STRUCTURES; FAILURE TO DESIGN FOR DECOMMISSIONING OF THE DAM; AND
AN ASSUMPTION OF 'PERFECT' OPERATION THROUGHOUT LIFE OF THE DAM.
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